Two Weeks in Lexington
Detailed track profile breakdowns per distance and daily biases at the Keeneland Spring Meet. Also, a full breakdown of the betting and where to focus your money going into this week.
Keeneland Spring Meet Track Profile Week 2
Very chalky races as expected. Favorites and 2nd choices have each won three races. The other race was won by the 3rd betting choice.
The key takeaway is that early runners are winning 42% of races. All distances show how important positioning is.
Closing moves have won, but most have been at short odds, which is always dangerous betting on.
Two biases to target this week: posts 1-3 & early runners.
This has been the trend since opening day at Keeneland. Early runners have taken down plenty of favorites because of how strong this bias has been.
There hasn’t been any trend to emerge in the 11 races so far. Posts 1-3 have overperformed from years past.
Knowing acceptable odds before betting has been key because plenty of longer-priced favorites have won. The full fields may be driving their odds up.
Closers are controlling these races. Stalkers are right behind them, showing how off-the-pace running is the preferred style.
Find the projected pace, then select which contenders can run to those fractions.
Keeneland Spring Meet Detailed Stats
See winning posts, running styles, and field sizes per distance
Average positioning and beaten lengths at the first three calls per distance
Daily track profiles to find biases on specific dates of racing
Also, see a full breakdown of betting and how the top three choices in each race are performing. Find out where your best opportunity is to beat the public at Keeneland. Quit wasting money in races where the public has been right.