Watch for These Dates at Churchill Downs
Examine the daily bias plays to watch for with horses shipping from Churchill Downs
The following dates are ones that I would consider watching for when looking at the past performances of horses from Churchill Downs.
The goal is to find horses that ran against the grain on these specific days.
Many times you will see that closers were winless on specific dates. I think this is more important for stalkers who fell back too far and still made a good effort in the loss. Closers on the dirt will always be suspect, so don’t give too much of an excuse if there were no closers to win on a specific date.
On the flip side, be cautious of horses that ran with the bias on that day. They could be vulnerable. Use these dates with the form analysis of runners who have been at Churchill Downs. It could offer some answers as to why a horse performed as they did.
Dirt Sprints Post Draw
5/2 - posts 1-3 go 0-for-6
5/16 - posts 1 & 2 go 5-for-5
6/29 - posts 1-3 go 0-for-3
6/30 - posts 1-3 go 0-for-5
Dirt Sprints Running Styles
4/30 - closers go 0-for-4
5/1 - closers go 0-for-3
5/3 - closers go 0-for-3
5/10 - early horses go 0-for-5
5/17 - closers go 0-for-6
5/19 - closers go 0-for-5
5/23 - stalkers go 3-for-3
5/25 - closers go 0-for-7
5/31 - closers go 0-for-4
6/1 - early horses go 0-for-3
6/8 - closers go 0-for-4
6/9 - early horses go 0-for-4
6/19 - closers go 0-for-6
6/22 - closers go 0-for-5
Dirt Routes Post Draw
5/9 - posts 4-6 win both races
5/12 - posts 4-6 go 3-for-3
5/27 - posts 4-6 win both races
5/30 - posts 1-3 go 0-for-2
6/5 - posts 1-3 go 0-for-2
6/6 - posts 1 & 2 win both races
6/8 - post 1 wins both races
6/28 - post 1 wins both races
6/29 - posts 4-6 go 6-for-6
6/30 - posts 4-6 win both races
Dirt Routes Running Styles
4/27 - closers won both races
4/30 - closers go 0-for-4
5/1 - closers go 0-for-3
5/12 - early runners go 0-for-3
5/17 - early runners go 0-for-2
5/23 - closers go 0-for-3
5/24 - closers go 0-for-3
5/27 - early runners win both races
5/30 - stalkers win both races
6/1 - closers go 0-for-3
6/2 - early runners go 0-for-2
6/5 - stalkers win both races
6/6 - stalkers win both races
6/7 - stalkers win both races
6/8 - early runners go 0-for-2
6/15 - early runners go 0-for-6
6/23 - stalkers go 3-for-3
6/29 - early runners go 0-for-6
6/30 - early runners go 0-for-2
Turf Routes Post Draw
5/2 - post 7+ goes 3-for-3
5/12 - post 5 wins both races
5/25 - posts 1-3 win both races
5/31 - post 4 wins both races
6/6 - posts 7+ wins both races
6/20 - posts 7+ wins both races
6/22 - posts 4-6 wins both races
Turf Routes Running Styles
5/2 - stalkers go 3-for-3
5/3 - stalkers win both races
5/4 - early horses go 0-for-3
5/25 - closers win both races
5/31 - early horses go 0-for-2
6/6 - stalkers win both races
6/7 - early horses go 0-for-2
6/13 - stalkers win both races
6/20 - closers go 0-for-2
6/22 - early horses go 0-for-2
6/30 - closers go 0-for-3